10.18453/rosdok_id00002295 Junker, Karin Karin Junker http://d-nb.info/gnd/1136986200 Universität Rostock 2013 500 Natural sciences 550 Earth sciences 570 Life science 2013 en http://purl.uni-rostock.de/rosdok/id00002295 urn:nbn:de:gbv:28-diss2018-0127-3 Ecosystem predictability is the basis for ecosystem management. To study the influence of climate on the variability and predictability of marine ecosystems, various climate indices are related to ecosystem descriptors. Various aspects influencing ecosystem predictability are being discussed. It is shown that predictability of marine ecosystems is altered by large-scale transitions in the atmosphere. A multivariate climate descriptor is developed to compensate for the increase in non-linearity due to a regime shift in 2001/2002 and the resulting decrease in predictability.