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Marti Wolff

The potential of the Baltic Sea for seasonal to decadal (S2D) predictability

Universität Rostock, 21.10.2025

https://doi.org/10.18453/rosdok_id00005038

Abstract: On the potential for seasonal to decadal (S2D) predictions for Baltic Sea physics. MOM6 was used to compute a large ensemble of the Baltic Sea. The ensemble was analyzed regarding predictability timescales of salinity, temperature and ice cover. Therefore memory timescales of these variables were identified and an attempt was made to predict future forcing on the Sea using a novel subsampling method.

master thesis   free access